The causal relationship between epigenetic aging and osteoporosis: a bi-directional Mendelian randomization study
Abstract
Aim: Osteoporosis (OP) is the most common of the musculoskeletal disorders, with decreased bone mineral density (BMD) being the main manifestation and exacerbating fracture susceptibility. OP was once thought to be an inevitable consequence of aging. We conducted a bi-directional Mendelian randomization (MR) for epigenetic age acceleration (EAA) and osteoporosis to accurately assess the interaction between aging and osteoporosis.
Methods: This study collected data from genome-wide association studies of EAA and OP and assessed significant genetic variables. Bi-directional MR analyses were performed using random-effects inverse-variance weighting as the primary method, and the interaction of epigenetic age acceleration with OP was assessed using other MRI methods and multiple sensitivity analyses.
Results: Inverse-variance weighted (IVW) results suggest that GrimAge acceleration accelerates bone loss in total body bone mineral density [odds ratio (OR) = 1.035, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) = (1.003, 1.069), P = 0.033]. The effect of BMD on EAA was investigated, and a causal relationship was found between forearm bone mineral density and GrimAge acceleration [OR = 0.682, (95%CI) = (0.508, 0.916), P = 0.011]. There was a causal relationship between femoral neck bone mineral density and PhenoAge acceleration [OR = 1.452, (95%CI) = (1.007, 2.096), P = 0.046].
Conclusions: Epigenetic age acceleration was bi-directionally causally associated with osteoporosis. GrimAge acceleration increased the risk of decreased total body bone mineral density. Forearm bone mineral density accelerated GrimAge and femoral neck bone mineral density accelerated PhenoAge acceleration.
Keywords
INTRODUCTION
Osteoporosis (OP) is the most common of the musculoskeletal disorders, with decreased bone mineral density (BMD) being the main manifestation and exacerbating fracture susceptibility[1,2]. OP predominantly affects postmenopausal women due to estrogen deficiency accelerating bone loss. While less prevalent in men, they experience more severe fracture outcomes, reflecting gender-specific pathophysiological mechanisms[3]. Individuals with modifiable risk factors-including tobacco use, excessive alcohol consumption, vitamin D deficiency, and poor nutritional status-demonstrate significantly higher susceptibility to osteoporosis development. OP was once thought to be an inevitable consequence of aging[4]. As a major global human health problem, the social and economic burden of OP is steadily rising as the population ages more and more[5]. It is estimated that nearly 20 percent of American women aged 50 and older had osteoporosis in 2018, up from 14 percent a decade earlier[6].
Epigenetic modifications are strongly associated with several metabolic diseases, including OP[7-9]. Epigenetic clocks measure biological aging through multiple epigenetic mechanisms, primarily DNA methylation[10-12], while newer models integrate histone modifications, non-coding RNAs, and chromatin states for enhanced aging assessment. These multi-feature clocks outperform traditional biomarkers in predicting age and mortality by capturing epigenetic aging complexity. When epigenetic age exceeds chronological age, this condition is known as epigenetic age acceleration (EAA), which is associated with various age-related diseases[10]. Commonly used EAA measurements include: intrinsic EAA (IEAA)[13] and Hannum Age acceleration (HannumAA)[14], which better predict chronological age; “second-generation” epigenetic age acceleration, PhenoAge acceleration (PhenoAA)[15], and GrimAge acceleration (GrimAA)[16], which integrates nine clinical biomarkers and 513 CpGs associated with mortality, can effectively predict incidence and death rates[17]. Although DNA methylation has been shown to regulate osteoblast differentiation and bone remodeling, epigenetic modifications are providing new ideas for osteoporosis treatment[18]. Aging and osteoporosis go hand in hand. However, the relationship between aging and osteoporosis in EAA has not been recognized[19].
Mendelian randomization (MR) uses genetic variants as instrumental variables (IVs) to support causal inference while minimizing confounding biases inherent in observational studies[20]. The approach adheres to Mendel’s law of independent assortment, whereby genotypes are randomly allocated during gamete formation, thereby mimicking the design of randomized controlled trials (RCTs)[21]. In the last few years, a growing number of scholars have analyzed EAA in relation to aging-related diseases, such as COVID-19[22], heart failure[23], and kidney function[24] by MR. In addition, no study has examined MR between EAA and OP. Therefore, we investigated whether there is an association between epigenetic age acceleration and osteoporosis by a bi-directional MR analysis.
RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS
Study design
In this analysis, four EAAs (IEAA, HannumAA, PhenoAA, GrimAA) were used as “exposures”. OP Measurement and prediction can be done by BMD[25]. Therefore, total body bone mineral density
Figure 1. Study design flow chart of Mendelian randomization. IVs: Instrumental variable; OP: osteoporosis; EAA: epigenetic age acceleration; TB BMD: total body bone mineral density; FA BMD: forearm bone mineral density; LS BMD: lumbar spine bone mineral density; FN BMD: femoral neck bone mineral density; eBMD: heel bone mineral density; IEAA: intrinsic age acceleration; HannumAA: Hannum Age acceleration; PhenoAA: PhenoAge acceleration; GrimAA: GrimAge acceleration.
Data source
GWAS summary statistics for EAA are all available from the IEU GWAS database (IEU https://gwas.mrcieu.ac.uk/; we downloaded GWAS summary statistics for BMD from the Osteoporosis Consortium website (GEFOS http://www.gefos.org/). The study data were all from Europe. Information on the data are presented in Table 1.
Data and sources of epigenetic age acceleration and osteoporosis
Type | Phenotype | Population | SNP | Sample size | Datasets in the GWAS |
EAA | IEAA | European | 7,544,289 | 34,461 | ebi-a-GCST90014290 |
HannumAA | European | 7,541,726 | 34,449 | ebi-a-GCST90014289 | |
PhenoAA | European | 7,545,555 | 34,463 | ebi-a-GCST90014292 | |
GrimAA | European | 7,544,493 | 34467 | ebi-a-GCST90014288 | |
BMD | FN BMD | European | 10,586,900 | 32,735 | ieu-a-980 |
LS BMD | European | 10,582,867 | 28,498 | ieu-a-982 | |
FA BMD | European | 9,955,366 | 8,143 | ieu-a-977 | |
eBMD | European | 9,851,867 | 265,627 | ukb-b-8875 | |
TB BMD | European | 16,162,733 | 56,284 | ebi-a-GCST005348 |
Selection of genetic instrumental variables
Rigorous criteria were used to screen single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) from GWAS pooled data from EAA and BMD. SNPs with threshold significance (P < 5.0 × 10-8), according to the three hypotheses and genome-wide significance, were validated for the linkage disequilibrium parameter r2 (r2 < 0.001) and kilobase pair kb (kb > 10,000). The final SNPs obtained that were significantly associated with exposure were termed instrumental variables (IV). F value (F = β2exposure/SE2exposure) was calculated in this study and SNPs with F < 10 were removed[27]. F values > 10 were considered weak instrumental pairs that are effective in reducing the bias caused by MR results.
Statistical analysis
In the analysis of the relationship between EAA and OP, we mainly use the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) statistic. IVW is considered to be the most accurate method for assessing causality if all SNPs fulfill the requirements of the three hypotheses of valid instrumental variables[28]. In addition, MR-Egger, weighted median method, and simple and weighted model calculations were performed to ensure that the results were not biased[29].
To ensure the accuracy of the results, heterogeneity among SNPs was tested using Cochran’s Q test; P > 0.05 indicated no heterogeneity, while a random effect model was applied when P < 0.05. Horizontal pleiotropy was evaluated using MR-Egger analysis, with P > 0.05 suggesting no evidence of pleiotropy. A leave-one-out analysis was then conducted to validate the culling of IVs that could have a large impact on the MR results. This analysis also helped address issues related to inconsistent SNP annotations, and supported the
RESULTS
Extraction of instrumental variables
After removing SNPs from incompatible alleles, information on all exposure-associated SNPs is shown in Supplementary Table 1. None of the F-statistics of the IVs obtained by screening were less than 10, so no weak instrumental variable bias was found.
Phase I. Effects of EAA traits on BMD
The analysis results of the influence of EAA on BMD in different parts are shown in Figure 2. IVW results suggest that GrimAA accelerates bone loss in TB BMD [odds ratio (OR) = 1.035, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) = (1.003, 1.069), P = 0.033]. When the OR > 1, the exposure factor will increase the risk of the outcome; conversely, it will have an inhibitory effect. Statistical significance could not be obtained between other EAAs and BMDs in Supplementary Table 2. Scatterplots and leave-one-out sensitivity analysis are in the Supplementary Figure 1. MR-Egger was then subjected to intercept analysis and Cochran’s Q test, and the results are shown in Table 2.
Figure 2. Mendelian randomization analysis for EAA on BMD. nSNP: the number of single-nucleotide polymorphisms; IVW: inverse-variance weighted; EAA: epigenetic age acceleration; IEAA: intrinsic epigenetic age acceleration; HannumAA: Hannum Age acceleration; PhenoAA: PhenoAge acceleration; GrimAA: GrimAge acceleration; BMD: bone mineral density; FN BMD: femoral neck BMD; LS BMD: lumbar spine BMD; FA BMD: forearm BMD; eBMD: heel-BMD; TB BMD: total body BMD; OR: odds ratio; 95%CI: 95% confidence interval; P: P-value.
Heterogeneity and pleiotropic analysis for epigenetic age acceleration
Exposure | Outcome | Cochran’s Q | MR egger | |
MR egger (p) | IVW (p) | Intercept (p) | ||
IEAA | FN BMD | 0.3167702 | 0.2920560 | 0.250202 |
IEAA | LS BMD | 0.6661622 | 0.6583614 | 0.3164924 |
IEAA | FA BMD | 0.0532878 | 0.0670260 | 0.694507 |
IEAA | eBMD | 3e-07 | 5e-07 | 0.7034014 |
IEAA | TB BMD | 0.0001437 | 0.0000094 | 0.0597628 |
HannumAA | FN BMD | 0.1900621 | 0.2667009 | 0.9685754 |
HannumAA | LS BMD | 0.0012420 | 0.0015689 | 0.5726428 |
HannumAA | FA BMD | 0.4685172 | 0.5702795 | 0.8099111 |
HannumAA | eBMD | 0.1292642 | 0.1252460 | 0.3797651 |
HannumAA | TB BMD | 0.0743077 | 0.1163888 | 0.8684581 |
PhenoAA | FN BMD | 0.3548912 | 0.4438756 | 0.7995509 |
PhenoAA | LS BMD | 0.9226880 | 0.9292814 | 0.4855223 |
PhenoAA | FA BMD | 0.8855043 | 0.7403278 | 0.1658422 |
PhenoAA | eBMD | 0.2824209 | 0.3616090 | 0.8518695 |
PhenoAA | TB BMD | 0.9406984 | 0.9490757 | 0.5178656 |
GrimAA | FN BMD | 0.6110190 | 0.4103183 | 0.3024067 |
GrimAA | LS BMD | 0.8281508 | 0.7467965 | 0.4541538 |
GrimAA | FA BMD | 0.3734250 | 0.5165973 | 0.6343293 |
GrimAA | eBMD | 0.0221043 | 0.0015830 | 0.2918637 |
GrimAA | TB BMD | 0.7810016 | 0.5806332 | 0.3496158 |
Phase 2. Effect of BMD traits on EAA
The analysis results of the influence of BMD on EAA in different parts are shown in Figure 3. The effect of BMD on EAA was studied, showing a causal relationship between FA BMD and Grim AA [OR = 0.682, (95%CI) = (0.508, 0.916), P = 0.011]. There was a causal relationship between FN BMD and Pheno AA
Figure 3. Mendelian randomization analysis for BMD on EAA. nSNP: the number of single-nucleotide polymorphisms; IVW: inverse-variance weighted; EAA: epigenetic age acceleration; IEAA: intrinsic epigenetic age acceleration; HannumAA: Hannum Age acceleration; PhenoAA: PhenoAge acceleration; GrimAA: GrimAge acceleration; BMD: bone mineral density; FN BMD: femoral neck BMD; LS BMD: lumbar spine BMD; FA BMD: forearm BMD; eBMD: heel-BMD; TB BMD: total body BMD; OR: odds ratio; 95%CI: 95% confidence interval; P: P-value.
Heterogeneity and pleiotropic analysis for osteoporosis
Exposure | Outcome | Cochran’s Q | MR egger | |
MR egger (p) | IVW (p) | Intercept (p) | ||
FN BMD | IEAA | 0.0956065 | 0.1242909 | 0.9901674 |
FN BMD | HannumAA | 0.0793301 | 0.1032180 | 0.8565282 |
FN BMD | PhenoAA | 0.0760703 | 0.0888360 | 0.5519918 |
FN BMD | GrimAA | 0.0258980 | 0.0161663 | 0.1957208 |
LS BMD | IEAA | 0.0753599 | 0.0912601 | 0.6252111 |
LS BMD | HannumAA | 0.0008716 | 0.0011972 | 0.6584138 |
LS BMD | PhenoAA | 0.1341368 | 0.1641073 | 0.7291078 |
LS BMD | GrimAA | 0.0006546 | 0.0007867 | 0.5384433 |
FA BMD | IEAA | 0.8040078 | 0.6999756 | 0.5675987 |
FA BMD | HannumAA | 0.4818490 | 0.6782634 | 0.6893335 |
FA BMD | PhenoAA | 0.4484625 | 0.6792502 | 0.7328757 |
FA BMD | GrimAA | 0.8732347 | 0.9676701 | 0.8739192 |
eBMD | IEAA | 0.0001428 | 0.0001642 | 0.9170362 |
eBMD | HannumAA | 0.0002654 | 0.0003042 | 0.9927886 |
eBMD | PhenoAA | 0.0008701 | 0.0009630 | 0.6784637 |
eBMD | GrimAA | 0.0786103 | 0.0637420 | 0.0549965 |
TB BMD | IEAA | 0.0004205 | 0.0001127 | 0.0360505 |
TB BMD | HannumAA | 0.0712066 | 0.0623359 | 0.1959204 |
TB BMD | PhenoAA | 0.0228811 | 0.0258643 | 0.603979 |
TB BMD | GrimAA | 0.1821983 | 0.2034602 | 0.9275554 |
DISCUSSION
The acceleration of global aging has led to a surge in the incidence and mortality of various age-related diseases, posing a serious challenge to social healthcare. Research on the physiopathological mechanisms of aging has been a hot topic. At the same time, determining an accurate measure of an individual’s biological age is one of the major challenges in aging research[30]. The ability of epigenetic clocks to accurately predict actual age has been validated, while the understanding of biological age has increased with the increase in diversity of epigenetic clocks, revolutionizing geriatric experimental science[31]. For instance, the m6A modification of mRNA has a regulatory effect on atrial fibrillation, heart failure, and other aspects[32].
Based on our findings, we found a significant and potentially causal effect of GrimAA on whole-body BMD. On the other hand, the reduction of forearm BMD and femoral neck BMD was found to accelerate Grim Age and PhenoAge, respectively. However, other EAAs were unable to establish a relevant causal relationship with BMD. A study of blood samples from 32 patients with osteoporosis and 16 controls showed no differences in DNAm patterns of blood samples and stated that OP was independent of peripheral blood epigenetic aging[19]. However, Fuggle[33] claimed that the conclusions of this study were obtained using only the first epigenetic clock and that the second epigenetic clock was not validated. Unlike first-generation clocks (e.g., Horvath, Hannum) or even PhenoAge, GrimAge integrates plasma proteins {e.g., growth differentiation factor 15 [GDF-15]}[16,34] and smoking-related DNA methylation (DNAm)[16] signatures-factors directly linked to inflammation, oxidative stress, and tissue degeneration, all of which contribute to bone loss. This is further corroborated by the positive causal relationship between GrimAA and whole-body BMD shown in our MR analysis, and the use of GrimAA as a second-generation epigenetic age acceleration. In addition, GrimAA has a significant advantage over other epigenetic ages in the prediction of many functional health and cognitive performance metrics[35]. Epigenomic-wide association studies (EWAS), although already underway, have been relatively understudied in relation to BMD. One study examined the association of osteoporosis with 100 CpG sites methylated in 2,529 genes that have been determined to be associated with BMD in postmenopausal women[36]. Cheishvili[37] identified 1,233 differentially methylated CpG sites to predict the development of early osteoporosis. A controlled study of osteoporotic versus non-osteoporotic women predicts early osteoporosis development. del Real[38] noted that MSCs from OP patients exhibit RUNX2/OSX proliferation, which may accelerate DNAm age aging. We confirmed genetically that there is a positive correlation between OP and EAA, accelerating aging. Elderly patients with osteoporosis are prone to predispose to forearm distal radius fractures and hip fractures[39,40]. Furthermore, their fracture incidence continues to increase with aging. Decreased FA BMD and FN BMD are important risk factors for inducing fractures in the elderly. We demonstrated that decreased FA BMD and FN BMD accelerated EAA in inverse MR analysis, and thus, decreased FA BMD and FN BMD are potential factors for accelerated aging in the elderly. In addition, whether fractures induced by decreased forearm BMD and femoral neck BMD can also accelerate EAA is a new question that needs to be further explored. These findings redefine osteoporosis as both a cause and consequence of accelerated epigenetic aging, urging integrated strategies to monitor and modulate biological aging in bone health management.
However, the limitations of our study remain unavoidable. The data sources were mainly from European populations, and genetic studies on epigenetic age acceleration in osteoporosis among different races are lacking. This may lead to maladaptation of observations in other races. Secondly, in the existing GWAS data, there is heterogeneity in the measurement sites and populations (age, gender) of BMD, which may affect the specificity of the EAA association. The association between GrimAA and whole-body BMD may be partially driven by smoking behavior, but smoking data are difficult to completely correct in MR. Furthermore, it is currently unclear why GrimAA is selectively associated with systemic BMD, while PhenoAA is associated with FN BMD, and experimental studies are needed for verification. Future research should focus on the differences in responses of bones in different parts to apparent aging in order to optimize the risk prediction model of osteoporosis.
CONCLUSIONS
In conclusion, epigenetic age acceleration was bi-directionally causally associated with osteoporosis. GrimAge acceleration increased the risk of decreased generalized BMD. Forearm BMD accelerated GrimAge and femoral neck BMD accelerated PhenoAge. However, the relationship between aging and osteoporosis still needs to be further studied.
DECLARATIONS
Authors’ contributions
Made substantial contributions to the conception and design of the study and performed data analysis and interpretation: Wang C, Wang W, Yan B, Wu W, Luo D, Guo Y, Yu H
Performed data acquisition, as well as providing administrative, technical, and material support: Ma L, Wang W
Availability of data and materials
The original data presented in the study are openly available in [IEU GWAS database] at [https://gwas.mrcieu.ac.uk/].
Conflicts of interest
Wang W is a Junior Editorial Board member of Journal of Translational Genetics and Genomics. Wang W was not involved in any steps of editorial processing, notably including reviewer selection, manuscript handling, or decision making. The other authors declared that there are no conflicts of interest.
Financial support and sponsorship
This study was supported by Key Technology Research and Development Program of Shandong Province, China (No. 2021CXGC010501), Taishan Scholar Project of Shandong Province (No. tsqn202211350), and Shandong Province Traditional Chinese Medicine Science and Technology Project of 2024 (MR20241850).
Ethical approval and consent to participate
Not applicable.
Consent for publication
Not applicable.
Copyright
© The Author(s) 2025.
Supplementary Materials
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